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Wednesday 30 September 2020
Wall Street surges on rekindled stimulus optimism
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Mis-selling: Is your bank asking you to pledge gold to save on locker rent?
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Asian shares set for bouncy session after Wall Street gains, weak dollar
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Bitcoin “Hodlers” Control 63% of the Total BTC Supply, New Data Shows
Bitcoin’s price action has done little to reassure investors of its near-term outlook, as the cryptocurrency has largely been caught within the throes of an intense bout of sideways trading over the past couple of weeks.
This has led to the formation of a trading range between $10,200 and $11,200, with buyers and sellers largely reaching an impasse as it trades between these two range boundaries.
The cryptocurrency’s trading volume has been diving lower throughout the course of this consolidation phase, which indicates that traders are moving to the sidelines and awaiting directional clarity before diving into positions.
One bullish fundamental trend that bodes incredibly well for BTC’s macro outlook is the massive percentage of the crypto’s total supply that is controlled by long-term investors.
This trend indicates that a small group of active investors and traders are driving the recent volatility, while the cryptocurrency’s base supply remains dormant.
Bitcoin’s Price Stagnates as Buyers and Sellers Remain Deadlocked
At the time of writing, Bitcoin’s price is trading down just under 1% at its current price of $10,750. This is around where it has been trading throughout the past day, as buyers and sellers have both been unable to catalyze any momentum.
This sideways trading has come about due to the formation of a trading range between $10,600 and $10,800.
While zooming out, the macro range that the benchmark digital asset has been caught within has a lower boundary at $10,200 and an upper boundary at $11,200.
Until either of these levels are surmounted, the cryptocurrency’s outlook remains somewhat unclear, although its ongoing consolidation bout beneath its resistance can be interpreted as slightly bullish.
Vast Majority of BTC’s Supply is Controlled by Long-Term Investors
Analytics platform Glassnode explained in a recent tweet that 63.3% of the total BTC supply has not been moved in over one year. They also note that a shocking 31.4% of the total supply hasn’t been moved in 3+ years.
“Percent of Bitcoin supply that hasn’t moved in… 1+ years: 63.3% (11.7 million BTC) 2+ years: 44.5% (8.2 million BTC) 3+ years: 31.4% (5.8 million BTC).”
Image Courtesy of Glassnode.
This trend is bullish for Bitcoin because it shows that most of its investor base are taking a long-term approach to their holdings and are unlikely to sell into any upwards movements it sees in the near-term.
Featured image from Unsplash. Pricing data from TradingView.
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How To Become Pan Card Distributor | How To Get Pan Card Centre
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Wall Street closes higher as stimulus talks progress
Stocks in the news: Chemcon, CAMS, RIL, PVR, LVB, Dhanlaxmi Bank, SBI and ONGC
How video KYC can simplify online buying of insurance policies
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Lottery Sambad Result on October 1: #39;Dear Bangabhumi Bhagirathi#39; lottery winners to be announced at 4 pm
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DAILY VOICE | US elections, rising COVID cases and valuations to drive markets: Naveen Kulkarni of Axis Securities
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Here#39;s why programmatic advertising is becoming more important in times of COVID-19
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Ski, party, seed a pandemic: The travel rules that let COVID-19 take flight
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Stocks in the news | RIL, Lupin, Sobha, CG Power Industrial Solution, Usha Martin, DB Corp
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IPL 2020 | Kings XI Punjab vs Mumbai Indians: Fantasy team picks for the match
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Why Post Debate Stock Market Performance Could Be Bad For Bitcoin
Last night, current United States President Donald J. Trump faced off against former Vice President and challenger Joe Biden in the first of three debates. Data shows, that following each debate, things have turned bad for the stock market, which could, in turn, mean even worse for Bitcoin.
Here’s why the stock market tumbling due to debates demoralizing investors could also spell bad news for the leading cryptocurrency by market cap.
Why The Debate Could Have a Bearish Impact On Bitcoin
Last night, the two top Presidential candidates went head-to-head as the world looked on. The two didn’t do anything to ease the minds of citizens, nor investors.
A “rocky” road to the election is expected to impact Bitcoin and prevent a new all-time high just yet, and last night was a preview as to why.
Neither candidate expects a peaceful transition of power, and already there are questions over the validity of the vote-counting process due to mail-in ballots causing all kinds of issues and turmoil.
Related Reading | Bitcoin Faces Pivotal Quarterly Close, Here’s Why
The uncertainty hanging over political started spilling into markets last night. While the Democratic and Republican leaders debated, the stock market spiked, then the moment the debate ended tanked.
Bitcoin price followed, dropping back down to $10,750, where it currently is attempting to close above the key level ahead of tonight’s monthly close.
This early sign of downward sell pressure due to fear and doubt may just be the beginning of more downside in Bitcoin and the stock market.
BTCUSD Versus S&P 500 Post-Debate Correlation Chart | Source: TradingView
Presidential Showdown Results In Stock Markets Taking A Beating
As depicted in the chart above, the blue line representing the S&P 500 stock market index, began plummeting just as the debate came to a close. Bitcoin’s fall started shortly before that, as the higher risk asset class likely began to feel the pressure of the debate sooner.
The two assets are back trading as tightly correlated as ever, despite constant talk from crypto’s brightest minds expecting a decoupling of the crypto asset from traditional markets any day.
But data shows that post-debate, markets turn down due to the ongoing uncertainty over which candidate’s campaign will ultimately win.
Related Reading | Bitcoin Descending Triangle Hints At Third Downtrend Before Bear Market Finish
According to Ryan Detrick, chief strategist at LPL Financial, the S&P 500 historically posted declines across 5-day, 10-day, and one-month periods following each debate. With only the first of three debates beginning last night, the stock market could be in for a bumpy ride ahead. And due to the ongoing correlation with Bitcoin, the high-risk cryptocurrency market could take another hit.
If it doesn’t, however, the decoupling analysts are calling for will finally come to fruition, and Bitcoin shining while stocks tank, could be just another catalyst that fuels the cryptocurrency’s next bull market – which could be here as soon as the election is over.
Featured image from Deposit Photos, Charts from TradingView
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Maker (MKR) Surges 7% as Stability Fees Introduced, DeFi Regains Footing
While decentralized finance (DeFi) has seen a strong surge in 2020, Maker (MKR), a token strongly tied to DeFi, has underperformed. The cryptocurrency, relative to its competitors, is underperforming; where Aave’s LEND and Synthetix’s Synthetix Network Token surged hundreds of percent in this year alone, MKR only saw a 20-30% move higher.
The market may be changing its mind on MKR, though.
The coin is up 7% in the past 24 hours and seems poised to see further growth as the fundamentals of the underlying MakerDAO protocol align in favor of growth.
Related Reading: MicroStrategy’s Stock Continues to Soar After Bitcoin Purchase
Maker Surges 7% Higher Despite Stagnation in Bitcoin & Ethereum Prices
Santiment, a blockchain analytics firm, reports that the cryptocurrency has “the largest bullish divergence between daily active addresses and current price (based on historical means) of any top 100 #blockchain we track.” This suggests that MKR’s increasing user count is not being reflected in price action, but may soon be:
“On top of this, from a pure network activity perspective, $MKR currently has the largest bullish divergence between daily active addresses and current price (based on historical means) of any top 100 #blockchain we track.”
Chris Burniske, partner at Placeholder Capital, has echoed the optimism about Maker. He recently noted that most investors in the crypto space are currently “sleeping on MKR” despite the utility of the protocol “going through the roof” and as more research is done about how the coin captures value.
“People mostly sleeping on $MKR while utility goes through the roof, and conversations abound around its value capture model.”
Related Reading: Critical On-Chain Signal Predicts That Bitcoin’s Next Move Will Be Upward
Adding to this, stability fees were just reimplemented into the MakerDAO protocol after a long period of 0% rates. This means that MKR may begin to accrue value once again as the protocol begins generating fees, resulting in the buying back and burning of MKR tokens.
Related Reading: Ethereum Transaction Fees Surge to All-Time Highs After Uniswap Launch
Featured Image from Shutterstock Price tags: mkrusd, mkrbtc, mkreth Charts from TradingView.com Maker (MKR) Surges 7% as Stability Fees Introduced, DeFi Regains Footing
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How To Become Pan Card Distributor | How To Get Pan Card Centre
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Tuesday 29 September 2020
Kerala lottery result: #39;Akshaya AK-465#39; lottery winners to be announced today at 3 pm
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DAILY VOICE | Quality companies with low debt will shine in medium term: R Venkataraman of IIFL Securities
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Moderna COVID-19 vaccine appears safe, shows signs of working in older adults: Study
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US Election 2020: Takeaways from first presidential debate between Donald Trump and Joe Biden
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Chainlink Downtrend Could Continue Toward New Lows Despite Record Rebound
Chainlink recently saw a record-breaking rebound, closing an intraday rally with more than 30% gains on the day. The recovery kept climbing but has since turned around at the top of a downtrend channel that thus far has been holding.
Will the downtrend take the cryptocurrency lower? And what other factors back up any theories predicting more downside in the altcoin ahead?
Chainlink Downtrend To Deepend, Following Record-Breaking Rally And Rejection
Last week, after sweeping lows, Chainlink rebounded from under $8 back up to over $11 at the local high. The over 30% surge broke records for the most green day in all of 2020 – a year where the altcoin has been just about unstoppable.
The year started off with the cryptocurrency setting fresh highs, only to collapse during the Black Thursday carnage to nearly zero.
The bounce from lows sent Chainlink on a journey toward price discovery mode, and eventually peaked at $20 per LINK token.
From that peak, however, a downtrend channel has formed, and despite a record-breaking rally last week, the cryptocurrency was unable to break free. Failure to break out from the downtrend, could lead to new local lows.
LINKUSD Daily Downtrend Pitchfork Channel | Source: TradingView
Technical Indicators Gives Credence To Crypto Asset’s Further Collapse
Downtrend channels are subjective, extended across price action manually using technical analysis drawing tools. But technical analysis indicators are created using precise mathematical formulas, leaving little room for interpretation and user error.
These various tools, also suggest that Chainlink is ready for another dive lower.
According to the Bollinger Bands, a volatility measuring tool consisting of a moving average and two standard deviations, Chainlink was just rejected from the “mid-BB.” Rejections from this area, often are followed by a move to retest the lower band.
Reclaiming the middle-line, would suggest the opposite and send Chainlink towards the top of the band.
LINKUSD Daily Middle Bollinger Bands Rejection | Source: TradingView
The Bollinger Bands aren’t the only indicator backing up the idea behind the downtrend channel. The Ichimoku indicator also paints an extremely bearish picture.
The “at a glance” indicator says a lot about price action. Looking backward on the chart, the chikou span, or lagging span, shows the price line hanging onto weak support.
LINKUSD Daily Ichimoku Rejection | Source: TradingView
The chikou span traces back 26 trading sessions and helps plot support and resistance levels. The chikou span looks back, but the cloud looks ahead. The cloud itself is twisted bearish, suggesting bearish future price action.
Finally, the kijun-sen (red) is above the tenkan-sen (blue) line signaling bearish price action, and Chainlink itself is in the process of being pushed downward further by the kijun-sen.
Using the Ichimoku indicator to find potential levels of support lower than the previous level that held, points to targets of $6 and $4.80 per LINK token. Unless the cryptocurrency can burst upward out of the downtrend channel, that is.
Featured image from Deposit Photos, Charts from TradingView
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Yearn.finance (YFI) Still Down 15% After EMN Bug as Uncertainty Remains
Yearn.finance (YFI) took a strong hit around 24 hours ago when a yet-to-launch project related to protocol experienced a bug. For those that don’t know, Andre Cronje, founder of Yearn.finance, deployed a series of new contracts relating to a new, still-to-launch game called Eminence Finance.
Eminence is slated to be an Ethereum-based card game with a focus on guilds.
Users, largely YFI holders, deployed capital into the Eminence contracts despite no official launch or website.
Unfortunately, there was a bug in the deployed contracts that allowed a user to withdraw $15 million worth of DAI from the contracts by putting in much less.
Many immediately sold their YFI after the bug was exploited for that $15 million. The coin remains down around 15-20% since the bug was exploited as there remains uncertainty in the market.
Related Reading: MicroStrategy’s Stock Continues to Soar After Bitcoin Purchase
Yearn.finance (YFI) Still Down After EMN Imbroglio
Yearn.finance currently trades for $25,000, around 15% below the price the coin was at right before the bug was exploited.
The hack made some investors lose faith in YFI in the short term, presumably because it may suggest that there may be bugs in the other contracts the protocol uses.
Alex Kruger, an economist and analyst that has a focus on crypto, recently explained on his outlook on YFI:
“I don’t hold $YFI any longer. Do think it will recover – and make ATHs. Trust in founders matters, and Cronje simply made the $YFI trade more difficult. Will re-enter at some point, and trade it more actively (shorter time frames)…. At the time of the exploit Cronje’s involvement was unclear. Without his tweetstorm response, $YFI would have easily dumped another 30% fast. Regardless, if unable to appreciate the gross negligence involved, you have likely spent too much time in crypto.“
I don't hold $YFI any longer. Do think it will recover – and make ATHs. Trust in founders matters, and Cronje simply made the $YFI trade more difficult. Will re-enter at some point, and trade it more actively (shorter time frames). https://t.co/kUjQi4zLgc
— Alex (@classicmacro) September 29, 2020
Related Reading: Critical On-Chain Signal Predicts That Bitcoin’s Next Move Will Be Upward
Not the End of the World
YFI may bounce back, though, as many aren’t convinced that this is the end of the world for the coin.
A co-founder of Real Vision just announced that he thinks now is a good time to deploy capital into YFI as it marks a good entry point from a longer-term perspective.
Related Reading: Ethereum Transaction Fees Surge to All-Time Highs After Uniswap Launch
Photo by Daoud Abismail on Unsplash Price tags: yfiusd, yfibtc Charts from TradingView.com Yearn.finance (YFI) Still Down 15% After EMN Bug as Uncertainty Remains
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Vedanta plays a trick with HZL dividend to depress delisting price
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F&O traders expect 20% move in Vodafone Idea
Wall Street closes lower, ending three-day rally ahead of U.S. presidential debate
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Uniswap’s UNI Bounces at Key Support as the Bull Case Continues Growing
Uniswap’s UNI token has been slowly grinding lower over the past few days, with buyers being unable to gain control over its short-term trend as the hype surrounding the token’s launch begins fading.
That being said, UNI’s buyers are now moving to establish its recent lows as a long-term base of support, as it has posted multiple positive reactions to the lower-$4.00 region.
Interestingly, the Uniswap governance token only appears to be loosely correlated to the rest of the market, which may mean that smaller Bitcoin fluctuations will only have a limited impact on where it trends in the near-term.
One analyst does believe that upside could be imminent, noting that it is imperative that bulls reclaim $4.70, as a break above this level could be the event that helps fuel its next strong uptrend.
Other investors are also noting that its fundamental strength still remains and that its upside potential is significant.
Analyst: Uniswap’s UNI Bounces at Support as Bulls Attempt to Spark Trend Reversal
In the time following the release of the Uniswap governance token a couple of weeks ago, it has been subjected to some wild price swings.
Following its launch, the UNI price plunged down to lows of $1.00 before it garnered some significant momentum that sent it surging up towards $8.50.
This marked a local top, as its price has been sliding lower ever since. Bulls were able to establish $3.50 as a strong short-term bottom, with UNI now attempting to set a higher low as it consolidates above $4.00.
At the time of writing, the Uniswap token is trading up just over 1% at its current price of $4.29.
Here’s the Crucial Level UNI Must Break Above
One analyst explained that Uniswap’s UNI token must surmount $4.70 in order to see further upside in the days and weeks ahead.
He believes that a break above this level could be enough to spark a fresh uptrend.
“UNI: There we go, bounce of around 10% since this area. Still, no clear trend direction given as $4.70 should be reclaimed, but at least a good entry.”
Image Courtesy of Crypto Michael. Chart via TradingView.
Many investors are pointing to the potential release of a V3 of Uniswap as one factor that could boost the token in the near-term. This is expected to provide the DEX with many new features that make it more similar to a centralized exchange.
This may spur growth for both its trading volume and its liquidity.
Featured image from Unsplash. Charts and pricing data from TradingView.
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Analyst: Chainlink Gearing Up for a Major Push Higher as Bulls Defend $10.00
Chainlink is currently attempting to confirm $10.00 as a support level as it faces inflows of selling pressure that jeopardize its near-term outlook.
Despite the present weakness it is facing, a confirmation of this level as support would be incredibly bullish, as it would mark a mid-term support-resistance flip that potentially kicks off the next leg of its recovery.
On the flipside, a break below this level would be grim, and potentially cause the cryptocurrency to plunge down towards its recent $7.50 lows that were set just a handful of days ago.
While speaking about Chainlink’s present market structure, one analyst explained that although it is not “super bullish” at the present moment, it does appear to be positioned to see some strong upside.
He specifically points to the aforementioned support-resistance flip, explaining that a confirmation of $10.00 as support could be enough to boost LINK’s price towards $12.00 – marking a 20% rise from where it is currently trading at.
Chainlink Faces Intense Selling Pressure as Bulls Guard $10.00
At the time of writing, Chainlink is trading down just under 2% at its current price of $10.15. Bears are aggressively trying to force it lower, but buyers have posted a strong defense of this price level.
This dip came about rather unexpectedly today, as LINK was previously showing signs of being stable within the upper-$10.00 region.
The instability within the aggregated crypto market contributed to this weakness, and may cause it to see further downside in the near-term.
Bitcoin, Ethereum, and most other major digital assets all tested their near-term support levels yesterday afternoon and have seen declining upwards momentum ever since.
This could place some pressure on Chainlink in the days and weeks ahead.
Here’s the Key Level LINK Must Continue Defending
While sharing his thoughts on Chainlink’s present market structure, one analyst explained that LINK bulls must confirm $10.00 as a support level. An ability to do so could lead it to see further upside in the days and weeks ahead.
“LINK / USD: Price action is looking pretty good if we can flip $10 into some support over the next 24/48 hours, could be a good chance that we can soon retest $12 as resistance… Not super bullish at the moment, still ground to cover.”
Image Courtesy of Cactus. Chart via TradingView.
Whether or not $10.00 continues to be defended by Chainlink bulls may depend largely on how the aggregated market trends in the near-term.
Featured image from Unsplash. Charts from TradingView.
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Monday 28 September 2020
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